Who goes home on 'Big Brother' tonight? Week 5 eviction odds
Who goes home on 'Big Brother' tonight? Week 5 eviction odds
Lori Comstock, USA TODAY NETWORKThu, August 13, 2026 at 1:47 PM UTC
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Who will go home on "Big Brother" tonight? Week 5 comes to a close Thursday, and with the BB Blockbuster winner taking themselves off the block, one of the remaining nominees will be evicted during the live vote.
The latest Kalshi odds give Haley Thogmartin a 73% chance of eviction, compared with 33% for Chuk Anyanwu and 2% for Barrett Pfeiffer. The odds suggest Haley is the favorite to go home, but Thursday's BB Blockbuster competition could dramatically alter the final nominees and voting scenarios.
The Week 5 eviction won't be decided until after Thursday's BB Blockbuster competition and live vote. While both prediction markets and recent live-feed conversations point toward Haley as the likely target, several scenarios could still reshape the outcome before eviction night.
That possibility looms especially large after last week's dramatic vote shift when Haley, Chuk and Kamu Kirk were blindsided by a vote flip, which sent home Lyric Medeiros over Melody Morris. Dee Valladares, one of the season's most influential players, has already been involved in discussions about how different BB Blockbuster results could change the vote, giving fans reason to wonder whether another surprise could be ahead.
Who is on the block on 'Big Brother' Week 5?
Three houseguests are on the block ahead of Thursday night's live eviction:
Barrett Pfeiffer
Chuk Anyanwu
Haley Thogmartin
One nominee will win the BB Blockbuster tonight and take themselves off the block, securing their safety before the live vote.
Week 5 nominations: Who did Lala nominate on 'Big Brother' 28? Week 5 spoilers
Who will be evicted from 'Big Brother' tonight? Odds of who goes home
According to the latest Kalshi prediction market odds, Haley Thogmartin is the favorite to be evicted from "Big Brother" tonight ahead of the live show.
Haley Thogmartin: 73%
Chuk Anyanwu: 33%
Barrett Pfeiffer: 2%
The odds align with recent live-feed conversations in which several houseguests discussed plans to send Haley home if she remains on the block after the BB Blockbuster competition.
However, while Haley's odds of going home are high, a BB Blockbuster win could quickly change the voting scenarios. If Haley wins BB Blockbuster, attention shifts to Chuk or Barrett going home tonight. The possibility of a late vote change also remains after last week's eviction, when Lyric Medeiros was ultimately sent home following a late swing in house momentum.
As a result, traders currently view Haley as the most likely Week 5 evictee, but Thursday night's BB Blockbuster remains the biggest wildcard heading into the live episode.
'Big Brother' spoilers: Live feeds updates and voting scenarios
While much will depend on Thursday's BB Blockbuster competition, live-feed discussions suggest Haley remains the most likely Week 5 evictee.
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With 10 houseguests expected to cast evictions votes tonight, a nominee will need six votes to be sent home. If the vote ends in a 5-5 tie, HOH Lala will cast the deciding vote.
What happens if Chuk wins BB Blockbuster?
If Chuk wins BB Blockbuster, Haley and Barrett will remain on the block. Recent live-feed discussions suggest Haley would remain the likely target if those are the final nominees.
What happens if Haley wins BB Blockbuster?
If Haley wins the BB Blockbuster competition, she will remove herself from the block and secure safety. In this scenario, live feed discussion suggest Chuk would go home over Barrett.
What happens if Barrett wins BB Blockbuster?
If Barrett wins BB Blockbuster tonight, he secures safety and is off the block. Per live feed discussions, Haley is the likely target over Chuk, though that could easily shift ahead of tonight's vote.
Another 'Big Brother' vote flip? Could the house flip the vote?
A vote flip on "Big Brother" isn't unusual. Several houseguests have discussed a vote flip to save Haley over Chuk. It was mentioned earlier in the week, died off quickly, and was revisited by Dee and Angela Murray on Wednesday. Houseguests will continue last-minute discussions today on the live feeds ahead of tonight's live eviction.
Did Kamu use the POV? Who is the replacement nominee on 'Big Brother'? Week 5 spoilers
What time is 'Big Brother' on tonight? How to watch, stream
"Big Brother" airs live Thursday at 8 p.m. ET/PT on CBS. Viewers can also stream the episode live on Paramount+.
Episode 19 is one-hour long and will include the BB Blockbuster competition, the live eviction vote, and Julie Chen Moonves' post-eviction interview with the fifth houseguest sent home.
Once the episode ends, fans will be anxiously awaiting who will be crowned the new HOH for Week 6. NorthJersey.com will continue to keep on live feed spoilers and provide updates when they become available.
Watch 'Big Brother' 28 on Paramount+
Lori Comstock is a New Jersey-based reporter covering trending news with USA TODAY Network's Mid-Atlantic Connect Team. She covers news in the Northeast, including New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Delaware, Washington DC, Maryland, and Virginia.Reach her at LComstock@usatodayco.com.
This article originally appeared on NorthJersey.com: Who goes home on 'Big Brother' tonight? Week 5 eviction odds
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